This is the area to the north of Chennai: a heavy-industries complex along the ecologically-degraded coastline, amid scattered towns and farmlands.
The threats are from multiple climate change pressures, intersecting with a complex and problematic urban expansion.
The opportunities are for a transition - from a chaotic 'anti-eco-urban' to a post-industrial climate-proof eco-region...
The causal system mapping here shows something of the deeper complexity and multiplicity of the situation in Ennore.
The upper part shows the problems and syndromes and impacts, both direct and systemic
The lower part show existing government responses in grey, and potential innovations, synergies and pathways in green. The sketch is a flipchart from live discussion.
For an overview of this wider 'eco-urban-scape', we present here the Peri-cene framework. This cannot represent all the deeper complexity of this case, but it provides a structure for analysis and further debate with stakeholders.
PERI-CENE FRAMEWORK
(20 questions on peri-urbanization, climate change, vulnerability, governance and synergistic pathways)
Peri-Urban
POTENTIAL THEMES & TOPICS
OVERVIEW
Spatial patterns
Urban direct expansion
Urban / rural fringe & gradient
Counter-urbanization effect
Urban agglomeration effect
Maps & Indicators
urban growth rate
Functional dynamics
Population growth & housing
Technology & infrastructure
Economy & employment
Real estate & markets
Maps & Indicators
Social-eco dynamics
Social demographics & lifestyle
Environment & resources
Policy & governance
Culture & ethics
Maps & Indicators
Global-local dynamics
Internal structures
external interactions
power dynamics
challenges & conflicts
Maps & Indicators
Climate Risk
POTENTIAL THEMES & TOPICS
OVERVIEW
Climate change direct effects
temperature
precipitation, storm etc
coastal effects
Maps & Indicators
Climate direct hazards & impacts
wildfire, heatwave, drought,
flood, storm, cyclone
landslide, sea incursion etc,
Maps & Indicators
Indirect hazards & nexus effects
water resources
farming & forestry
energy & resources
ecosystems & microclimates
critical infrastructure
Maps & Indicators
Peri-urban impacts on climate
CO2 emissions from energy
GHG emissions from land-use
Land-use & forestry change
Carbon storage
Maps & Indicators
Vulnerability
POTENTIAL THEMES & TOPICS
OVERVIEW
Physical sensitivity & capacity
Soil & vegetation
Topography & stability
Settlement form & structure
Maps & Indicators
Techno-economic capacity
technical & infrastructure
Markets & value effects
Employment & livelihoods
Maps & Indicators
Eco-social-cultural capacity
Affluence / deprivation
Education / communication
Cultural issues
Maps & Indicators
Governance adaptive capacity
Local government
Public services & infrastructure
Emergency services
Civil & community
Maps & Indicators
Governance
POTENTIAL THEMES & TOPICS
OVERVIEW
Adaptive governance & institutions
Public Sector
Private Sector
Civic Sector
Citizens etc
Maps & Indicators
Informal governance & livelihood
Informal land-use, settlements
Corruption & nepotism
Social innovation & enterprise
Maps & Indicators
System resilience & intelligence
Social learning & collaboration
Social co-creation & mobilization potential
System transformation potential
Maps & Indicators
Synergistics
POTENTIAL THEMES & TOPICS
OVERVIEW
Systems / syndromes (present baselines)
Main cross-cutting issues: e.g.
Airport / port cities:
Rural livelihoods:
Informal development
Maps & Indicators
Scenarios (future possibilities)
Critical themes: (STEEP): e.g.
Social cohesion declines
AI / IOT emerges
Climate change accelerates
Maps & Indicators
Synergies (future ideas, opportunities)
Potential ideas, connections, opportunities
Maps & Indicators
Strategies (present pathways, actions)
Goals, objectives, targets for ways forward.
Maps & Indicators
Chennai region overview
Chennai region overview
Heavy-industries complex along ecologically-degraded coastline and scattered towns and farmlands
urban eco-social-economic mix in some areas has growing vulnerability
waterways
waterways
road & rail networks
road & rail networks
literacy rate
literacy rate
Chennai region overview
Chennai region overview
Quasi-government arrangements with industries, limited overview and regulation; mostly panchayat and local governance structures since there are many villages and small towns in this region
government & urban-rural class
government & urban-rural class
Chennai region overview
Chennai region overview
opportunities for transformation - from a disrupted 'anti-eco-city-region' towards a post-industrial eco-region
Zone (a)
Chennai - Ennore
Heavy-industries complex along ecologically-degraded coastline and scattered towns and farmlands
Concentration of heavy industries and public infrastructure (port, power plants etc.) along the coast and medium-to-large scale farming to the west, mid-sized towns in early stages of urbanisation, fishing communities along the coast, middle to large scale farming
low to medium growth in population with small and medium-sized towns and villages: heavy-industries (petrochemicals, fertilisers), power plants and port dominate coastal strip; mostly rural and small-town infrastructure inland: mix of industrial, farming and local livelihoods
rural, small town cultures inland; disenchanted communities closer to urban coastal strip, losing livelihoods and ecologies to industrial heavyweights; sensitive coastal/delta ecology, thriving large-scale farming/paddy cultivation, protected forest areas; plans for economic boost in the region with industrial hubs
high level of inequality, limited options for upward mobility, port and industries connect region to global economies, large-scale farmers include affluent classes from neighbouring state
land lost to sea level rise, coastal erosion, agricultural lands lost to fluctuating extremes
two major reservoirs, a river that drains into the Bay of Bengal and other water bodies that dot the landscape; medium to large-scale farming, protected forest areas
Zone (a)
Chennai - Ennore
urban eco-social-economic mix in some areas has growing vulnerability
coast - deltaic/coastal region heavily degraded from industrial activity; inland - fertile soils along river subject to flooding
large-scale infrastructure subject to risk from SLR and storm surges, coastal erosion
varying levels of affluence amongst farming communities; differences in affluence between inland and coastal fishing communities that range from small boats to large-scale trawlers; ignored part of city with local rebel groups and cultures amongst the youth, highly vulnerable communities
mixed access to infrastructure with many communities deprived of basic access to services
Zone (a)
Chennai - Ennore
Quasi-government arrangements with industries, limited overview and regulation;
Quasi-government arrangements with industries, limited overview and regulation; mostly panchayat and local governance structures since there are many villages and small towns in this region
protests and activism particularly around the plight of fishermen livelihoods, climate change and polluting the ocean
Zone (a)
Chennai - Ennore
from the world's first industrial city-region to the first post-industrial eco-region
Port and heavy-industry cluster/rural livelihoods
Climate change accelerates sea level rise, storm surge: complete loss of habitat and fishing communities/traditions: Industry adopts high-risk infrastructure : social and ecological breakdown
synergies around climate activism and youth rebellion in the region challenging vested interests, reclaiming local livelihoods
using moments of crisis to dial up activism in the region; expanding and exploiting connections with fishermen from other parts and even other states; ensure guided urbanisation (learnings from other regions) with ample focus on landscape and ecosystems